The candlestick patterns cheat sheet, ranked by how well each signal actually works

Forex By Alphaex Capital Updated

A quick-reference summary before the detail.

Key takeaways

  • Thomas Bulkowski ranked all 103 candlestick patterns by tested performance across millions of samples in Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, and the gap between the best and the worst is enormous (ThePatternSite).
  • The single best performer is the bearish three-line strike, which reverses bullish 84% of the time; the bullish three-line strike reverses bearish 65% of the time (Bulkowski, ThePatternSite).
  • The famous patterns are not the best: the inverted hammer acts as a bearish continuation 65% of the time rather than a bullish reversal, and the shooting star ranks a mid-list 55 out of 103 (Bulkowski).
  • A candle's name tells you the shape; only the trend around it tells you whether the signal is worth trading, because the same shape at a swing low and a swing high means opposite things.
  • Every entry needs confirmation, a stop beyond the pattern's extreme, and at least a 2:1 target, because a candle alone is a suggestion rather than a trade.

Why most candlestick cheat sheets are useless

Most candlestick cheat sheets are wallpaper: a grid of pretty shapes with a one-word signal next to each, and almost nothing to help you decide which one is actually worth your money. They list thirty-odd patterns as if a hammer and a three-line strike carry the same weight, when the tested evidence says they do not.

The tested evidence inverts the usual hierarchy. Thomas Bulkowski ranked all 103 candlestick patterns by performance across millions of candles in Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, and the best of them, the bearish three-line strike, reverses as predicted 84% of the time, while the famous southern doji reverses only 52% of the time, barely better than a coin flip (ThePatternSite).

I built this cheat sheet the other way around. The patterns below are sorted by how well they actually perform, using the largest public dataset on candlestick reliability, so you can tell the signals that work from the ones that only look good in a diagram.

If you are new to reading candles at all, start with how to read a candlestick chart, because every pattern here is just a specific arrangement of the same four data points.

How 103 patterns actually got ranked

The reference for the numbers in this cheat sheet is Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, built on millions of candles and summarised free on ThePatternSite. He scored each of 103 patterns on overall performance, with rank 1 the best and 103 the worst (ThePatternSite).

Performance combines how often the pattern hits its price target and how far price moves after it, across bull and bear markets. A rank of 5 is not slightly better than 55; on a 103-pattern scale that is a chasm.

I lean on this dataset because it is one of the few places a retail trader can see candlestick reliability measured rather than asserted. The numbers are not a guarantee for your next trade, but they are a far better filter than memorising shape names.

The cheat sheet: patterns ranked by tested performance

The table below lists the patterns you will see most often, grouped by what they signal and ordered by how well Bulkowski's testing says they perform. Read the rank column as the headline: lower is better, out of 103.

Visual candlestick patterns cheat sheet showing the common bullish and bearish reversal candles with their names and what each one signals.
The cheat sheet at a glance. The table below ranks these same patterns by how well they actually test.
Pattern Signals Bulkowski rank (/103) What the data shows
Three-line strike (bearish)Bullish reversal1 (best overall)Reverses bullish 84% of the time
Bearish engulfingBearish reversal5Reverses bearish 79% of the time
Three black crowsBearish reversalTop tierAmong the best upward breakouts
Three white soldiersBullish reversalTop tierAmong the best upward breakouts
Morning starBullish reversalReliable (freq. rank 66)Frequently acts as a bullish reversal
Shooting starBearish reversal55 (mid-list)Average at best; overrated by beginners
Southern dojiBullish reversalWeakReverses bullish only 52% of the time
Inverted hammerBullish reversal (in theory)Misreads oftenActs as bearish continuation 65% of the time

I keep this matrix to hand because it kills the idea that all reversal candles are equal. The three-line strike and the engulfing patterns sit near the top; the doji and the inverted hammer sit near the bottom, and most beginners trade them as if they were the strongest of the lot.

The best-performing candlestick patterns

The bearish three-line strike is the highest-rated pattern in Bulkowski's entire set, reversing bullish 84% of the time after what looks like a bearish move (ThePatternSite). It is rare, which is part of why it ranks so well: patterns that appear less often tend to be taken more seriously by the data.

The bearish engulfing is the workhorse of the top tier, performing as a bearish reversal 79% of the time and ranking 5 out of 103 (ThePatternSite). It is common enough to trade regularly and strong enough to be worth the attention.

The three-candle clusters, three black crows and three white soldiers, also sit in the top tier. Bulkowski's testing puts three black crows among the best performers for downward breakouts and three white soldiers among the best for upward breakouts, which makes them more useful than most single-candle reversals (ThePatternSite).

The morning star is the bullish reversal I trust most after engulfing, because it shows up often enough to find and acts as a reversal frequently, with a frequency rank in the middle of the pack (ThePatternSite).

Single-candle vs multi-candle: why three beats one

The clearest pattern in Bulkowski's data is the one nobody prints on a cheat sheet. Multi-candle patterns, the ones built from two or three candles, consistently outrank single-candle patterns at the top of the table.

The three-line strike, the three black crows, and the three white soldiers all sit in the top tier. The engulfing patterns, which are two-candle setups, sit just below them.

The single-candle reversals, the hammer, the shooting star, and the doji, cluster further down the list (ThePatternSite).

The reason is simple once you see it. One candle is a snapshot of one session, and one session is easily faked.

Three candles forming the same shape is a sequence, and a sequence takes more effort for the market to fabricate, which is why the data trusts it more.

I treat this as a filter before I even read the rank. If a setup needs only one candle to form, I want exceptional context around it.

If it needs three, the context can be thinner, because the pattern itself is doing more of the work.

Continuation patterns, ranked

Reversals get all the attention, but the continuation patterns are where a trend trader actually lives. These are the shapes that say the move is pausing, not ending, and Bulkowski tested them against the same 103-pattern yardstick.

The mat hold is the standout, sitting among the best performers for downward breakouts, which makes it one of the strongest continuation signals in the dataset (ThePatternSite). It is a five-candle pattern, which fits the rule that more candles mean more reliable.

The rising three methods and the falling three methods are the classic continuation pairs. A strong candle, three small counter-trend candles trapped inside its range, then a second strong candle in the original direction.

I read them as the market failing to reverse, which is itself a signal to stay with the trend.

Continuation patterns suit a different mindset to reversals. You are not calling a top or a bottom, you are confirming that the path of least resistance has not changed, and the data says that confirmation holds up more often than the dramatic reversal calls do.

The overrated patterns everyone trusts too much

The patterns beginners love are often the ones the data likes least, and the gap is uncomfortable. The inverted hammer is taught as a bullish reversal, but Bulkowski found it acts as a bearish continuation 65% of the time, which means it usually does the opposite of what the textbook claims (ThePatternSite).

The shooting star ranks a mid-list 55 out of 103, which is as average as average gets. It looks dramatic, with its long upper wick, but the data says the drama rarely pays off (ThePatternSite).

The doji family is the classic indecision candle, and the numbers back the hesitation: the southern doji reverses bullish only 52% of the time, which is barely better than a coin flip (ThePatternSite). I treat a doji as a pause that needs the next candle to decide direction, never as a signal on its own.

This is the part of the cheat sheet that matters most. Trading the famous patterns blindly is how accounts bleed, because you are trading the logo of a pattern rather than its tested edge.

How to actually read a candle

Every candlestick is built from four numbers: the open, the high, the low, and the close. The body runs from open to close, and the wicks, or shadows, stretch out to the high and the low.

A bullish candle closes above where it opened, and a bearish candle closes below. The body shows who won the session, and the wicks show how far each side pushed before losing ground.

I read three things off any candle before I care about its name: the size of the body, the length of the wicks, and where it sits relative to the candles around it. A long body means conviction, long wicks mean rejection, and a doji-sized body means neither side won.

If you want the mechanics of single candles in more depth, the pin bar vs hammer breakdown shows how one shape flips meaning with its location.

Why context beats shape

A candlestick pattern is only as good as the trend around it, because a reversal signal needs something to reverse. A hammer in the middle of a range is noise, and the same hammer at the end of a clean downtrend is a genuine signal.

I ask one question before I take any pattern: is there an extended move for it to reverse? If price has been grinding in one direction and a top-tier reversal candle appears at an obvious level, the setup has context. If the chart is chopping sideways, almost no candle is worth trading.

Confluence is the multiplier that turns a decent pattern into a good one. A bullish engulfing that lands on daily support, with an oversold reading and a higher-timeframe uptrend behind it, is a far stronger trade than the same engulfing printed in a vacuum.

The honest rule is that the candle is the trigger and the context is the trade. Trade the combination, not the shape, and you remove most of the false signals that cheat sheets never warn you about.

Reading candlesticks in forex specifically

Forex adds two wrinkles that stock charts do not have, and both change how you read candles. The market runs around the clock, which means the daily close is an arbitrary time rather than a real settlement, and liquidity shifts sharply between the Asian, London, and New York sessions.

Candles printed during the thin Asian session often have long wicks that mean less, because small orders move price further when liquidity is low. I weight a reversal candle far more when it forms during the London or New York overlap, when volume is real.

The pairs matter too. The majors, like EURUSD and USDJPY, are clean enough that candlestick patterns read the way the textbooks suggest.

Exotic pairs gap and w erratically, which makes candle shapes unreliable no matter how good the pattern's rank.

If you want the backdrop for how these candles fit into a full method, the candlestick patterns hub pulls every deep-dive guide into one place.

Which timeframe to trade candlesticks on

The same pattern means more on a higher timeframe. Bulkowski's headline numbers come from daily charts, and that is not a footnote, it is the core assumption behind every rank in this cheat sheet (ThePatternSite).

A daily hammer reflects a full session of buyers failing to push price lower. That is a real event, backed by a day of participation.

A five-minute hammer reflects five minutes of the same struggle, and five minutes is easy for noise to fake.

I trade candlestick patterns almost entirely on the four-hour and daily charts. Lower timeframes print more of them, which feels productive, but they also print more false ones, and the data says the false ones outnumber the real ones as you drop down the timeframes.

The timeframe also sets your stop distance and your target. A daily reversal candle needs a wider stop and offers a bigger target, while a five-minute version keeps both small.

Your position size has to follow the candle, not the other way around.

If you are stuck on the lower timeframes and losing, the cheapest fix is not a new pattern. It is moving up a timeframe or two until the candles you see are the ones the data actually trusts.

The mistakes that wreck candlestick traders

Most losses from candlestick trading come from a short list of habits, and the list is more useful than any single pattern. The first is trading every shape as if it were a signal, when most candles are just candles.

The second is entering before confirmation. The candle closes, the trader jumps in, and the next candle reverses straight through the entry.

Waiting one candle for confirmation removes a large share of these.

The third is a stop placed too tight, wedged inside the wick where ordinary movement stops it out. The stop belongs beyond the pattern's extreme, at the price where the idea is wrong, not at the first twitch against you.

The fourth is the one this whole cheat sheet is built to fix: chasing the famous patterns instead of the ranked ones. The hammer feels safe because everyone knows it, and the three-line strike feels obscure because few do.

The data inverts that comfort completely.

I keep a four-point filter for any candlestick trade. Right context, confirmed entry, stop beyond the extreme, target at least twice the risk.

A pattern that fails more than one of those is not a trade, it is a hope.

Confirmation and risk for every pattern

No pattern on this cheat sheet is a standalone buy or sell signal, and the ones with the best ranks still fail a meaningful share of the time. Confirmation is the next candle moving in the pattern's direction before you commit.

For a bullish reversal, that means waiting for price to break above the pattern's high. For a bearish reversal, you wait for the break below the low.

The unconfirmed entry is how a textbook hammer keeps falling straight through your stop.

I place the stop just beyond the pattern's extreme, the tip of the wick where the idea is proven wrong, and I size the position so that stop costs a fixed fraction of the account. The wick length sets the risk, which sets the size, which is why volatility-based position sizing pairs naturally with candlestick trading.

The target needs to offer at least twice the risk, or the math does not work even with a top-tier pattern. A three-line strike that reverses 84% of the time is still worthless if your winners are half the size of your losers.

FAQ

What is the most reliable candlestick pattern?

The bearish three-line strike, which Bulkowski ranked number 1 out of 103 patterns and found reverses bullish 84% of the time. It is rare, which is part of why it scores so well, and it is the single highest-rated candlestick in the largest public dataset on pattern performance (ThePatternSite).

Do candlestick patterns actually work?

They work, but with enormous variation between patterns. Bulkowski's testing of 103 patterns shows the best reverse as predicted up to 84% of the time while the worst barely beat a coin flip, so reliability depends entirely on which pattern you trade and whether you confirm it with context (ThePatternSite).

What is the best bullish reversal candlestick?

The morning star and the bullish engulfing are the strongest commonly-available bullish reversals. The engulfing ranks near the top of the 103-pattern list, and the morning star acts as a bullish reversal frequently enough to be considered reliable (ThePatternSite).

Is the hammer a reliable pattern?

It is a recognisable bullish reversal at a downtrend low, but single-candle patterns generally rank below multi-candle ones in Bulkowski's testing, so it needs a real downtrend, confirmation on the next candle, and a stop beyond the wick rather than blind trust (ThePatternSite).

Which candlestick patterns fail most often?

The doji family and the inverted hammer. The southern doji reverses bullish only 52% of the time, and the inverted hammer acts as a bearish continuation 65% of the time rather than the bullish reversal most traders expect, which is why both are overrated in beginner cheat sheets (ThePatternSite).

How many candlestick patterns are there?

Roughly 100-plus depending on who is counting. Bulkowski tested 103 of them with formal identification rules and performance statistics in Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, which is the dataset behind the rankings in this cheat sheet (ThePatternSite).

Should I trade a candlestick pattern on its own?

No. A candlestick is a trigger, not a trade.

You still need the trend around it, confirmation from the next candle, a stop placed beyond the pattern's extreme, and a target that offers at least a 2:1 reward to risk before the setup is worth taking.

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